AFL Round 17 2026 Preview: Tips, Projections, and Analysis
Round seventeen offers a mix of contests, some with clear favourites and others that appear much harder to split. The model highlights a couple of teams, notably Geelong and Hawthorn, who seem to be underrated by the market this week, suggesting potential value. We also anticipate a few significant margins, which might lead to some less competitive outcomes across the weekend.
Geelong vs Brisbane Lions
The Tip Jar has Geelong by 20, rated higher than the market.
Geelong is seen as a stronger prospect than current market odds suggest. Their ability to convert scoring chances at home should give them a comfortable victory over Brisbane.
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs
The Tip Jar has Sydney by 16 at the SCG.
Sydney's capacity to generate scoring opportunities should prove decisive. While the Bulldogs will likely compete hard, the Swans look set to secure the win on their home ground.
West Coast vs Adelaide
The Tip Jar has Adelaide by 39 at Optus Stadium.
Adelaide appears to hold a considerable advantage in creating scoring chances. This suggests they will manage a substantial win on the road against West Coast.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne
The Tip Jar has Hawthorn by 20, with a strong chance at home.
Hawthorn's effectiveness at generating scoring chances should be a key factor. Playing in Tasmania, the Hawks are well-placed to overcome Melbourne.
Greater Western Sydney vs Fremantle
The Tip Jar has Fremantle by 22 on the road.
Fremantle's ability to create chances should allow them to control this game. They look set for a solid victory away from home.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood
The Tip Jar has Gold Coast by 8 in a tight contest.
There is not much separating these sides, but the Suns' strength in the contest might give them an edge. At home, Gold Coast should just get over Collingwood.
Richmond vs Carlton
The Tip Jar has Carlton by 53 at the MCG.
Carlton looks to have a significant advantage in generating scoring opportunities. This suggests they will run away with a resounding win at the MCG against Richmond.
Essendon vs St Kilda
The Tip Jar has St Kilda by 29 under the roof.
St Kilda's consistent performance across key areas, particularly in winning the ball, points to a comfortable win. They should handle Essendon under the roof at Marvel Stadium.
Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne
The Tip Jar has Port Adelaide by 9 in a close one.
This match could be a close one, but Port Adelaide’s ability to create opportunities should be enough. North Melbourne's efficient finishing might keep them in touch, but Port should prevail.
FAQ
Which player is projected to score highest in fantasy for Round 17?
Harry Sheezel from North Melbourne is projected to achieve the highest fantasy score this round.
Which player is projected to score highest in SuperCoach for Round 17?
Max Gawn from Melbourne is projected to achieve the highest SuperCoach score this round.
Which team made the biggest jump in the power rankings this week?
Port Adelaide made the biggest jump in the power rankings this week, moving up four spots.