Updated 2026-08-26.
About AFL Fantasy & SuperCoach projections
AFL Fantasy and SuperCoach projections on Footy Tip Jar are derived from per-player stat projections rolled up into each scoring system official weights. AFL Fantasy uses simple per-stat scoring (3 per kick, 2 per handball, 3 per mark, 4 per tackle, 6 per goal, 1 per behind, 1 per hitout). SuperCoach uses statistician-curated weights with the official 3300-point-per-game rule applied. Player projections start from an EWMA baseline of 2024-2025 actuals, then adjust for opponent strength (35%), recent form (15%), time-on-ground signal (10%), individual matchup effects (15%), baseline anchor (20%), and rust/return penalty (5%). Captain picks rank players by projected score each round. The Calculator tab surfaces trade targets by combining projected score with current price and breakeven.
