AFL Round 25 2026: Collingwood and Melbourne Tipped in Tight Contests
Round 25 presents a couple of contests that appear finely balanced on paper. The model suggests there isn't much separating the teams this week, with margins projected to be particularly narrow. It will be a test of nerve as much as skill for those hoping to finish the season strongly.
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood
Footy Tip Jar has Collingwood by 6 at the MCG.
This shapes as a particularly close game, with little to separate the sides across most areas of play. Collingwood's slight advantage in ball retention might just be enough to see them through. Marcus Bontempelli is expected to have a good day for the Bulldogs.
Melbourne vs Carlton
Footy Tip Jar has Melbourne by 1 at the MCG.
Melbourne and Carlton are projected to play out what could be the closest game of the round, with the model finding almost nothing between them. The Dees are tipped to just get over the line, perhaps by making more of their opportunities. Sam Walsh should be busy for the Blues.
FAQ
Which teams are predicted to win by the narrowest margins in Round 25?
The Footy Tip Jar model projects Melbourne to win by one point against Carlton, making it the tightest forecast for the round. Collingwood is also tipped in a close one against the Western Bulldogs.
Are there any value picks for disposals in Round 25?
Yes, Marcus Bontempelli from the Western Bulldogs and Sam Walsh from Carlton are both projected to exceed their respective disposal benchmarks with good value.
What does the model say about the Western Bulldogs versus Collingwood game?
The model suggests a very even contest, with Collingwood having a small edge in ball retention, which is enough to tip them by a narrow six-point margin.
