Footy Tip Jar

Stats-modelled AFL predictions for the 2026 season: match tips and margins, Brownlow Medal vote projections, SuperCoach and AFL Fantasy scores, the predicted ladder, and player stat projections. Enable JavaScript to use the full interactive app.

Round tips and predictions
Brownlow Medal predictor
SuperCoach and AFL Fantasy projections
Predicted ladder and power rankings
AFL stat leaders
Model accuracy and track record

2026 AFL Tipping Accuracy Tracker

Season Accuracy Tracker

Updated 2026-07-12.

Tips correct: 112 / 150 (75%).

About AFL tipping accuracy on Footy Tip Jar

Season accuracy holds the model honest. Every prediction made each round is graded against the actual result: tips correct or incorrect, projected margin vs actual margin (mean absolute error), and value-pick hit rate. Tips are immutable, once a tip is published it can never be retroactively changed, even if the model later recalibrates. Per-confidence-level calibration is the key health signal: high-confidence tips (greater than 68% win probability) should win ~70% of the time. Calibration drift across the season is what catches an over-confident or stale model early.